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eTAOC

Tipping of the Atlantic Ocean Circulation

The Atlantic Ocean Circulation is sensitive to freshwater perturbations such as the meltwater from ice sheets. Under continuing greenhouse gas emissions, it may undergo a transition to a collapsed state within a few decades, with potentially large climate impacts. In the eTAOC project we will develop general software to determine the probability of these type of transitions using rare event algorithms. This software will subsequently be used in the accompanying ERC-AdG project TAOC to estimate the probability that a climate disrupting state of the Atlantic Ocean Circulation will appear before the year 2100.

Participating organisations

Netherlands eScience Center
Utrecht University
University of Groningen

Team

Niels  Drost
Niels Drost
Programme Manager
Netherlands eScience Center
HD
Henk Dijkstra
FW
Fred Wubs
Co-Applicant
University of Groningen
SB
Sven Baars
Postdoctoral researcher
Universiteit Utrecht
VJ
Valérian Jacques-Dumas
RvW
René van Westen
Postdoctoral researcher
Utrecht University

Related projects

Stochastic Multiscale Climate Models

Coupling an implicit low-resolution model to an explicit high-resolution ocean model

Updated 2 months ago
Finished